The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

This week's simulation shows that inverted yields are a 93.4% probability through August 2023. Details below. Excel summaries of the simulation results for 3-month T-bills and the 10-year Treasury are ...

The 10-year (US10Y) and 2-year (US2Y) Treasury yields reached 4%, with the curve inverting early on Monday for the first time since August. The move comes after Friday's blowout jobs report. The data ...