By: Estee Y. Cramer, Evan L. Ray, Velma K. Lopez, Johannes Bracher, Andrea Brennen, Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira, Michael Lingzhi Li and et al.

Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy  Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...

A Chinese research group has sought to understand the relative performance of two weather prediction techniques based on ensemble modeling for solar energy forecasts. The scientists applied the two ...

A tool created by a team at The Upshot uses data from the National Weather Service to communicate the unpredictability of snowstorms. By Terence McGinley Times Insider explains who we are and what we ...

We construct probability forecasts for episodes of price deflation (i.e., a falling price level) using yields on nominal and real U.S. Treasury bonds. The deflation probability forecasts identify two ...

A groundbreaking AI model, GenCast, is revolutionizing weather forecasting by generating rapid, probabilistic global predictions for up to 15 days. Unlike traditional methods, it captures uncertainty ...

The probability in weather forecasts leaves many people perplexed on if, or when, they should continue with plans, cancel or delay. As summer ramps up across North America, millions of travelers, ...

No forecast is so ubiquitous during the springtime as the severe weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center. These categorical outlooks show up in weather broadcasts just about every day ...